Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.260323 0.298924 0.340352 0.388012 0.441215 0.498662 0.565267
2026-01-25 0.197706 0.249739 0.310048 0.384645 0.473935 0.576855 0.703900
2026-02-01 0.153278 0.212102 0.285400 0.382306 0.505781 0.656480 0.852775
2026-02-08 0.120419 0.181961 0.264112 0.379651 0.535470 0.735573 1.008754
2026-02-15 0.095062 0.156484 0.244067 0.374602 0.560070 0.809434 1.164353
2026-02-22 0.079046 0.140907 0.234624 0.381773 0.600695 0.906996 1.358779
2026-03-01 0.063986 0.123576 0.219441 0.377796 0.623991 0.981620 1.526901
2026-03-08 0.053031 0.110583 0.208568 0.378218 0.652776 1.065291 1.713083
2026-03-15 0.043252 0.097468 0.195149 0.372254 0.670203 1.132498 1.878942
2026-03-22 0.038348 0.092395 0.194574 0.387124 0.721594 1.254361 2.134163
2026-03-29 0.034130 0.087748 0.193908 0.401399 0.772760 1.378834 2.400568
2026-04-05 0.029230 0.080538 0.187187 0.403687 0.803245 1.471628 2.622102
2026-04-12 0.024794 0.073435 0.179738 0.404006 0.830833 1.562552 2.848154
2026-04-19 0.020883 0.066601 0.171699 0.402078 0.853997 1.647441 3.069387
2026-04-26 0.017648 0.060607 0.164423 0.400625 0.877636 1.734384 3.298823
2026-05-03 0.014893 0.055123 0.157309 0.398474 0.899468 1.819207 3.529049
2026-05-10 0.012436 0.049744 0.149449 0.393594 0.915239 1.893797 3.745222
2026-05-17 0.010978 0.046975 0.147462 0.401315 0.956624 2.017190 4.053087
2026-05-24 0.009224 0.042660 0.140736 0.397318 0.973465 2.095801 4.284785
2026-05-31 0.007913 0.039415 0.136224 0.397854 0.999625 2.193209 4.554950
2026-06-07 0.006583 0.035586 0.129340 0.391687 1.010689 2.261990 4.775588
2026-06-14 0.006071 0.034809 0.131110 0.407250 1.070467 2.428877 5.186135
2026-06-21 0.005585 0.033979 0.132576 0.422174 1.129866 2.597968 5.607957